Some assumptions:



1) Widnes lose their away fixtures and win at home

2) Nobody misses kicks

3) Finishing twelfth in the tipping comp makes you an inarguable predictor of game outcomes



I opted to be particularly pessimistic about the HKR game and mildly optimistic about the Widnes and Leigh games.



HAL v SAL - SAL by 18

BRA v WID - BRA by 6

HKR v WAK - HKR by 12

LEI v SHE - LEI by 24



WAK v WID - WAK by 12

HAL v LEI - LEI by 24

HKR v BRA - HKR by 48

SAL v SHE - SAL by 24



SHE v HKR - HKR by 24

WAK v HAL - WAK by 24

LEI v BRA - BRA by 6

WID v SAL - WID by 12



BRA v HAL - BRA by 6

HKR v SAL - HKR by 12

SHE v WAK - WAK by 18

WID v LEI - WID by 6



[code W L D DIFF PTS

HKR 7 0 0 132 14

WAK 5 2 0 65 10

BRA 5 2 0 3 10

--------------------------

WID 4 3 0 46 8

SAL 4 3 0 23 8

--------------------------

LEI 2 5 0 -3 4

SHE 1 6 0 -154 2

HAL 0 7 0 -112 0[/code



Flip the game against Widnes to a narrow Widnes win and it looks like this:



[code W L D DIFF PTS

HKR 7 0 0 132 14

WAK 5 2 0 65 10

WID 5 2 0 58 10

--------------------------

SAL 4 3 0 23 8

BRA 4 3 0 -9 8

--------------------------

LEI 2 5 0 -3 4

SHE 1 6 0 -154 2

HAL 0 7 0 -112 0[/code



Beat Widnes but lose to Leigh, both one score margins:



[code W L D DIFF PTS

HKR 7 0 0 132 14

WAK 5 2 0 65 10

WID 4 3 0 46 8

--------------------------

SAL 4 3 0 23 8

BRA 4 3 0 -9 8

--------------------------

LEI 3 4 0 9 6

SHE 1 6 0 -154 2

HAL 0 7 0 -112 0[/code



Lose to both:



[code W L D DIFF PTS

HKR 7 0 0 132 14

WAK 5 2 0 65 10

WID 5 2 0 58 10

--------------------------

SAL 4 3 0 23 8

LEI 3 4 0 9 6

--------------------------

BRA 3 4 0 -21 6

SHE 1 6 0 -154 2

HAL 0 7 0 -112 0[/code



Disclaimer: other outcomes are available.



Apologies to Halifax for your lack of wins. I'm not trying to be disrespectful. It just comes naturally.

8/10 pts we are playing for then, HKR will depend which team they put out and if they are missing the HB pairing and also if they are safe by then which is def possible, especially as they are then to play which they should win easily.



Long way to go yet, just need to keep winning and then we wont need to worry, same intensity again and we should be home and hosed, would be nice to be safe a week early

With the way we lost to Wakee i think Salford came to Odsal thinking it would be a walkover and paid the price, however, now Widnes and HKR have seen the result they won't be playing us with the easy game attitude and it will be a lot harder for us to get the win.

That said with the confidence of this win and a big crowd at home we could upset the applecart

Need to be full strength and show what we can do.



Clare

Caro

Neilsen

Purtell

Williams

Gaskell

Mullaney

Clough

O'Brien

Sidlow

Olbison

Addy

Pitts



Ferguson

Crossley

Lauaki

Blythe/Mendeika (who can cover just about anywhere)



Is what i would go with I think

Did Lauaki come back on in the second half?

Yes but very late in 2nd half

Nope... Nothing has been mentioned with regards to injury or anything??

I stand corrected. Could have sworn he was on last few minutes in rain but sporting life has him down as only doing the one stint in first half.

Sporting Life manage the first subs but then run out of options for showing the subsequent ones. The very satisfying video on Bulls TV has him on the pitch at the end.



Good analysis VBFG. Confirms my pre super 8s analysis that 4 wins [ushould[/u get you into the £1m game, 5 wins get you promoted. There just ain't enough points for the probabilities to be any other way. indeed they called it super 8s because if you get 8 points you have a super chance of promotion. If you get it right on the day. Super.

Plenty of other variables of course. By no means nailed on that Widnes beat Leigh, or even that Leigh don't go unbeaten from here on in. Either outcome shakes things up again.



Points difference might yet be the key from 3rd to 6th.

I daren't even begin to try and predict what results will be in the final 4 games. I'm just praying we see performances closer to yesterday's than the one with served up versus Wakefield. If we manage that then we should have a fair chance of at least making the Million Pound Game. I don't expect it to be straightforward though and anticipate a few more shock results before the season ends.

Can't help but feel that the cup final has come at the worst possible time for us, might be difficult to carry that momentum forward with such a long gap to our next match. The next 13 days will seem like an eternity!