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| Quote Leaguefan="Leaguefan"
As for debt, the crazy thing is that the planets total debt is considerably more than than the planets GDP.
'"
Is it?
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| Quote Dally="Dally"Bad taste when he has just died.'"
You're having me on ? 
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| Quote The Video Ref="The Video Ref"Only as good as the figures they are given.
It is widely accepted that there was some serious creative accounting for Greece to get into the Euro.'"
The deals done were at the suggestion of Goldman Sachs and also JP Morgan. They came up with ideas similar to sub-prime and other such financial instruments to hide Greek debt. One of them just after entry into the Eurozone in 2001 was helping Greece to borrow billions which was hidden from public view because it was treated as a currency trade rather than a loan!
So they met the rules on borrowing because at the suggestion of Goldman Sachs they found a way to hide it.
When a firm of the type who you would expect to audit government accounts are complicit in the ruse to hide borrowing I don't think "Only as good as the figures they are given" has the same meaning as you intended above.
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| Quote Dally="Dally"It will be interesting to see how it pans out.
I would expect that the Eurozone's leadership will have by now developed a Plan B (that they will not want to implement) to let Greece leave. If that happens I fear the Greek people will suffer even more hardship than they have to date in the short to medium term. I do not think a military coup can be discounted at some point.
If Greece does leave in a relatively orderly way it will probably over time improve its lot as its currency will be very weak and so it should be able to export, attract mass tourism, etc.
All we are seeing and will continue to see is member states of the EU that have been heavily subsidised have drops in living standards because fundamentally their economies are weak compared with Germany who effectively dictate interest rates. So, in effect the EU serves no purpose.'"
When the Greeks got the bailout they had to agree to be ruled economically by the troika (European Commission, International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank) and so embarked on a Austerity program and the usual [umassive[/u selling off of state assets. The IMF predicted after the Greek economy had crashed to the extent it had, they would as a result of the measures imposed experience a 25% (yes twenty five percent) growth in the economy as it bounced back from the very bottom of the pit.
It has not happened. Geek youth unemployment is at 60% for example. It remains a basket case.
So all the Austerity imposed has failed yet the Greek people have suffered the consequences. They took the medicine but there is no cure in sight. Their living standards have already dropped through the floor.
So given the bailout package has not revived the economy is it any surprise they have voted the way they have?
What the new Greek government has said is paying the debt back in full is unrealistic. They want to halve it and stay in the Euro. That will obviously go down like a lead balloon as I believe the Germans lent 22bn Euros as part of the 110bn package but really this is small beer and writing half that off does not seem to be unrealistic, especially since they have made a big profit as a direct result of the Greek crisis anyway.
As to Germany, they profit massively from this. German companies have bought up a lot of Greek state owned assets. The bailout package earns Germany interest on the loans and as you mentioned there are low interest rates which means Germany's own debt is cheap (but this is not new, the Euro has been undervalued for years as weaker economies keep it low).
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| Yep. I find the Germans anger on Greece bizarre. They have benefitted hugely from the Euro and are principal movers in the expansion of the Eurozone, including the stupid rules that mean a new entrant to the EU has to become part of the Eurozone.
Germany has to realise if it wants the benefits of the expanded Eurozone it has to take the downsides too, including sometimes bailing out less productive areas of the currency union. The same as the UK has to, just in a different, more integrated way.
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| I think we really do need to stop using jargon such as "austerity" and start calling it for what it has always been - just another means of wealth redistribution.
The goal is to exchange the assets of the state (ALL states) for the debt of trans-national capital. Breaking the power of states has been the goal since the death of FDR's "New Deal". States are the only entities with the power (legal and military) to curb the excesses of capital. A state saddled with crippling debt has no power.
The final stage will be the privatization of the military. Once that happens - the game will be up.
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| Quote Him="Him"Yep. I find the Germans anger on Greece bizarre. They have benefitted hugely from the Euro and are principal movers in the expansion of the Eurozone, including the stupid rules that mean a new entrant to the EU has to become part of the Eurozone.
Germany has to realise if it wants the benefits of the expanded Eurozone it has to take the downsides too, including sometimes bailing out less productive areas of the currency union. The same as the UK has to, just in a different, more integrated way.'"
Germany might have an argument if they ever get around to repaying the [url=http://greece.greekreporter.com/2015/01/11/germany-owes-greece-11-billion-euros-from-the-nazi-occupation-loan/money loaned to them by Greece during WW2[/url
Quite staggering hypocrisy
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| Quote Mugwump="Mugwump"I think we really do need to stop using jargon such as "austerity" and start calling it for what it has always been - just another means of wealth redistribution.
The goal is to exchange the assets of the state (ALL states) for the debt of trans-national capital. Breaking the power of states has been the goal since the death of FDR's "New Deal". States are the only entities with the power (legal and military) to curb the excesses of capital. A state saddled with crippling debt has no power.
The final stage will be the privatization of the military. Once that happens - the game will be up.'"
The USA has crippling debt but still huge power, which it wields internationally in an almost Orwellian way in order to benefit its businesses.
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| Quote Dally="Dally"The USA has crippling debt but still huge power, which it wields internationally in an almost Orwellian way in order to benefit its businesses.'"
The US admittedly possesses the most powerful army on the planet. Indeed, it now spends more on defence than at any point during the Cold War - when the opponent (if significantly overblown by the US' own analysts - see Paul Wolfowitz and Team B) really could deliver a smack in the mouth. However, in order to finance these pork barrel projects successive administrations from Reagan have had to cut further and further into the bone. Americans are poorer now than they've been since before the depression.
It doesn't take a genius to realise that this is totally unsustainable. At some point investment will have to fall. And fall in a big way - unless a miracle occurs and somehow they can refloat American manufacturing with all the money they've syphoned out of the country over the last twenty years.
When Donald Rumsfeld arrived at the Pentagon for his first day as secretary of defence he corralled the staff into the central meeting room and then stunned them with the claim that they were facing a new and insidious threat the likes of which they had never seen. Bottom lips soon smacked off the floor tiles when they discovered this new "enemy" was themselves. Rumsfeld was openly declaring war on the Pentagon! From the outset he slashed whole groups of jobs claiming that the Pentagon was drowning in a sea of bureaucracy. He then opened the military up to the opening round of privatisation. First there came small tactical support units (mostly paramilitary spec-ops). Next to be replaced was the support infrastructure - gleefully picked up by his Halliburton chums (because a Big Mac bought from a Halliburton unit is cheaper than a Big Mac bought from the US Army - or not). Then came "Blackwater" and host of abuses that followed. Then a multi-phased rollout of "off the books" black operators (the history of which you can find between the works of the now sadly - and conveniently - deceased Rolling Stone columnist, Michael Hastings, and "Dirty Wars" creator - Jeremy Scahill). Today privatisation has eaten a good deal out of the US military. And let's not forget the host of para-military police units roaming the streets with the kind of weaponry which might give the Germans defending the Normandy beach cause for concern. This is despite the demonstrable fact that violent crime has been falling in the US for years.
Was Rumsfeld aimlessly reacting to the political realities of the time - or did he have a plan from the outset?
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| If you have the nerve, and the desire and an open mind (hard for some, but then you never know) read The Shock Doctrine by Naomi Klein (ISBN 978-0-141-02453-0).
We live in interesting times.
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| Quote Leaguefan="Leaguefan"If you have the nerve, and the desire and an open mind (hard for some, but then you never know) read The Shock Doctrine by Naomi Klein (ISBN 978-0-141-02453-0).'"
I've read it. I agree with her on the broad points. But Klein is another one of these weird faux-liberals who on the one hand think the likes of Rumsfeld & Cheney are perfectly capable of deliberately fomenting civil war in Iraq, pitting Shia against Sunni in a classic divide-and-conquer tactic straight out of the Julius Caeser handbook (resulting in the deaths of thousands of Iraqis and American servicemen) and yet finds the idea that the very same might have engineered 9/11 in the first place completely inconceivable.
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| It appears one of the problems of the Greek economy is the lack of a meaningful manufacturing base.
I struggling to see how the new government will correctly address this dire situation? The days of most citizens - government big wigs excluded - being happy with a Moskvich etc. appear to be a distant memory.
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